Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.046583 0.050650 0.054768 0.059241 0.063956 0.068772 0.074057
2025-07-06 0.041339 0.047418 0.053786 0.060929 0.068692 0.076849 0.086040
2025-07-13 0.035834 0.043208 0.051182 0.060385 0.070655 0.081704 0.094435
2025-07-20 0.031872 0.040227 0.049523 0.060525 0.073083 0.086867 0.103039
2025-07-27 0.029100 0.038281 0.048759 0.061435 0.076185 0.092650 0.112258
2025-08-03 0.027096 0.037013 0.048593 0.062874 0.079772 0.098906 0.121980
2025-08-10 0.023546 0.033588 0.045623 0.060786 0.079059 0.100069 0.125748
2025-08-17 0.021232 0.031500 0.044096 0.060266 0.080061 0.103121 0.131622
2025-08-24 0.019177 0.029580 0.042633 0.059693 0.080892 0.105888 0.137103
2025-08-31 0.018355 0.029197 0.043048 0.061403 0.084469 0.111917 0.146459
2025-09-07 0.017380 0.028531 0.043035 0.062525 0.087291 0.117026 0.154726
2025-09-14 0.016330 0.027684 0.042723 0.063212 0.089536 0.121417 0.162131
2025-09-21 0.015085 0.026511 0.041955 0.063314 0.091081 0.125024 0.168704
2025-09-28 0.014569 0.026350 0.042528 0.065164 0.094861 0.131420 0.178739
2025-10-05 0.013277 0.024960 0.041350 0.064637 0.095550 0.133956 0.184035
2025-10-12 0.012323 0.024010 0.040725 0.064804 0.097106 0.137559 0.190652
2025-10-19 0.011696 0.023516 0.040707 0.065767 0.099685 0.142449 0.198878
2025-10-26 0.011280 0.023322 0.041098 0.067280 0.102988 0.148271 0.208301
2025-11-02 0.009854 0.021398 0.038884 0.065095 0.101309 0.147681 0.209628
2025-11-09 0.008989 0.020331 0.037877 0.064551 0.101787 0.149831 0.214397
2025-11-16 0.008180 0.019296 0.036864 0.063952 0.102152 0.151810 0.218937
2025-11-23 0.008000 0.019348 0.037509 0.065744 0.105792 0.158077 0.228988
2025-11-30 0.007689 0.019140 0.037737 0.066919 0.108587 0.163247 0.237658